Robust Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals

نویسندگان

چکیده

We construct robust empirical Bayes confidence intervals (EBCIs) in a normal means problem. The are centered at the usual linear estimator, but use critical value accounting for shrinkage. Parametric EBCIs that assume distribution (Morris, 1983b) may substantially undercover when this assumption is violated. In contrast, our control coverage regardless of distribution, while remaining close length to parametric indeed Gaussian. If treated as fixed, have an average guarantee: probability least $1 - \alpha$ on across $n$ each means. Our application considers effects U.S. neighborhoods intergenerational mobility.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Econometrica

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['0012-9682', '1468-0262']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3982/ecta18597